Despite continuing headlines of concern, EM markets have rebounded recently. In order to sustain that rally, we need to see progress on export volumes and political/economic reforms. While not universally cheap, EM equity valuations are not unreasonable and we continue to find bottom-up opportunities. A month ago, much of the news from the emerging markets
Insights on current market events and investment opportunities.
The downside to technological progress is short-term dislocations and job loss for those displaced by automation. Workers with high skills and advanced education command a wage premium while unskilled and lower-skilled workers are displaced which aggravates income inequality. The winners will be those who have skills complementary to the new emerging technologies and those who
Dovish comments by Fed officials lead us to believe that normalization in interest rates could take a more circuitous route. While the steady economic recovery makes higher yields inevitable, the path we take to get there is dependent on the Yellen Fed’s policy approach. We remain underweight duration, but are now less sure 3-5yr yields
Predicting sales of new medicines is highly inaccurate and subject to significant and often costly errors. While investment analysts can draw on research tools and experience, history suggests new drug forecasting will remain more art than science. Despite the high level of uncertainty and variability in new drug forecasts, the innovative medicine industry is alive
The New York, New Jersey and Connecticut tri-state region is dependent upon New York City. The strength of state pension systems varies. Improvements are being implemented. The New York-New Jersey-Connecticut tri-state region is, in large part, economically rooted in New York City — access to diverse, high-paying jobs throughout the metro area drives state property
The March labor market report was solid, with the overall private level of employment finally exceeding the pre-recession high. The Household Survey had the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.7%. A recurrent problem is the poor quality of job growth in terms of underemployment/part timers and wage growth. The March labor market report from the
Be sure the manager takes enough risk Be sure the manager takes intentional, well-informed risk Be sure the manager has delivered returns for that risk taken across multiple backdrops For some time, we have written about the challenges active equity managers face from a market with unusually high cross-correlations. We have also stated our belief