Historically, some of the worst short-term market fluctuations and losses were followed by periods of substantial market recovery. Investors who try to time market swings often end up missing out on the market’s best days. Asset allocation, diversification and periodic rebalancing are tools investors can use to help weather market downturns. Sometimes the best selling
Global Perspectives offers global economic, market and investment commentary on Monday morning of each week.
November 2013 Archive
Is valuation an effective tool for deciding on whether to invest in a stock? We look at other drivers of a stock’s worth Earnings and earnings growth could be more useful in evaluating a stock’s worth Many of the market experts paraded around on the business programs, when asked about their forecast for stocks, often
How will the Fed manage the exit process? There are two ways QE could come to an end We see QE tapering starting soon Minutes from the October 29-30 FOMC meeting released last week included an unusual section titled “Policy Planning”—an indication of the many moving parts and difficult trade-offs in the Fed’s current communication
China has announced significant social and economic reforms. We believe the vague wording and lack of timetables in the announcement should allow for balancing policy changes against short‐term growth prospects. If fully implemented, the plans announced should move the country towards a long-term sustainable growth model. If rolled out gradually, the near‐term effects on growth
Many investors struggle to determine the appropriate amount of bond duration in an environment of rising interest rates. The right amount of duration has to be considered in a portfolio context, because the main value of duration exposure comes through diversification. Because of the negative correlation between duration and the returns of riskier assets, high-quality
As muni bond prices fell and yields soared in recent months, fear and uncertainty kept investors away. Amidst the unprecedented fear-based sell-off, the fundamentals of the muni bond market continue to strengthen. Bypassing muni bonds may mean missing out on today’s attractive long-term buying opportunities. Tax-free income is a big reason why so many investors have
Chair of the Federal Reserve Board might be the most powerful job in global finance, and if Janet Yellen is confirmed, her views will weigh heavily on policy decisions — and influence financial markets — for at least the next four years. Yellen should be considered a dovish central banker, relative to other Fed officials.