Perspectives Blog

Does a perfect policy portfolio exist?

Jeffrey Knight, CFA, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation | May 5, 2014

Risk Parity represents a significant advance in asset allocation, but we don’t believe that there is a single perfect policy portfolio. While Risk Parity works well in neutral markets, we don’t think it is the best policy under bearish, bullish or highly bullish market conditions. We believe that a policy function that rotates among four distinct policy portfolios is closer to perfect than any single policy portfolio. The idea of a policy port…

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (as of May 13, 2014)

Columbia Management Global Asset Allocation Team, | June 2, 2014

The global asset allocation team reaffirmed their recommendation to modestly overweight equities versus bonds, despite the slight underperformance of equities relative to bonds so far this year. The S&P 500 is up about 3.5% while the Barclay’s aggregate index is up 4.0% and longer dated bonds are up over 13%. This strong bond market performance is contrary to consensus expectations which had forecast yields to rise above 3.5% this year. With…

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (June 2014)

Columbia Management Global Asset Allocation Team, | June 30, 2014

In contrast to last year, so far this year all major asset classes have performed well. Developed market equities, bonds, emerging market (EM) equities and EM bonds, and commodities are all up year to date in the range of 4%-8%. Globally diversified portfolios should continue to fare well in this environment and the global asset allocation team continues to recommend modestly overweighting equities over bonds with a neutral allocation to commodi…

January asset allocation update

Jeffrey Knight, CFA, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation | February 3, 2014

…momentum. In addition, we maintain our strong overweight to Japan as we see both favorable monetary and macro conditions continuing. EM equities present a challenge. While global liquidity and valuations are supportive of the asset class, sentiment remains negative and after many years of positive capital flow we are currently seeing that reverse. As a result, we remain neutral on EM equities. We continue to recommend adding non-traditional diver…

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (as of February 24, 2014)

Columbia Management Global Asset Allocation Team, | March 10, 2014

…ated Treasuries, municipal debt and high-yield corporate bonds leading the way. The dollar weakened against both emerging market and developed market currencies. Despite a slight slowdown in recent economic growth, our Global Asset Allocation proprietary investment clock for the U.S. signals continued economic expansion. The investment clock allows us to better understand the behavior of the business cycle and the resulting impact on asset class…

The importance of taking a long-term perspective

Jeffrey Knight, CFA, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation | February 3, 2014

We examine the value in maintaining a long term outlook for major asset classes We review our forecast for several major asset classes over the next five years Why maintaining realistic expectations for long term asset class performance is so important For asset allocation decisions, we find great value in maintaining a long-term outlook for major asset classes. Twice a year, in fact, we conduct an extensive update of our five-year return fore…