Search results for: commodities

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Special report — Commodity markets outlook

In the following Q&A, David Donora, Head of Commodities for Threadneedle Investments, addresses some of the key concerns currently facing investors in commodity markets, and explains his view of the outlook for the market. What is your outlook for commodities for the remainder of 2014?

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Commodities – Time to start reloading

Base metals, U.S. natural gas, grains and now oil are all trading at price levels that are signalling producers to cut production. We see the over-production of oil as temporary and the market balancing in Q3 2015, and while this will leave significant inventories to work through, prices should recover into year end.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing

Reducing risk — Absolute return and the pursuit of better diversification

Most investors are familiar with diversification — reducing one’s risk profile (i.e, annual volatility) without affecting return by adding different asset classes or investments to your portfolio. While this is true, the degree of risk reduction benefit depends directly upon the correlation of the portfolio’s assets.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Markets

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (as of May 13, 2014)

The global asset allocation team reaffirmed their recommendation to modestly overweight equities versus bonds, despite the slight underperformance of equities relative to bonds so far this year. The S&P 500 is up about 3.5% while the Barclay’s aggregate index is up 4.0% and longer dated bonds are up over 13%.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Markets

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (June 2014)

In contrast to last year, so far this year all major asset classes have performed well. Developed market equities, bonds, emerging market (EM) equities and EM bonds, and commodities are all up year to date in the range of 4%-8%.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Markets

U.S. rates — Data dependence

Evidence of data dependency at the June FOMC meeting suggests policy will respond to unemployment and inflation surprises. We are more confident the Fed’s reaction function is (nearly) done moving.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing, U.S. Economy

Stairs up, elevator down

Major asset classes had nice gains through mid-June but have declined as of late. Although we still favor equities, we think it is time to bolster portfolio resilience.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Markets

Global market mid-year outlook

Overall macroeconomic picture in U.S. should push bond yields higher, particularly if the Fed stops its QE program later this year. We remain positive on emerging market debt while maintaining a bias against emerging market equities.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, U.S. Economy

Investment themes for a “Groundhog Day” world

Pursue a realistic income goal with more than bonds. Common stocks and a variety of other corporate securities may yield as much as bonds with greater return potential over time.

Emerging market equities — Still a world of opportunity

Despite a disappointing last five years, the structural growth drivers that have long made emerging markets an attractive area in which to invest are as compelling as ever. While emerging markets may be a single asset class, they are anything but homogenous.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing
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