Search results for: consumption

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Half-time report on the U.S. consumer

U.S. consumers have taken a more cautious attitude toward debt and been more selective about using it for discretionary purchases. With consumers using credit cards less and using debit cards much more, the supports for higher discretionary spending are keyed off income and wages and also employment.

Tagged with: Economy, U.S. Economy

The role of income inequality

The rise in income inequality was a root cause of the U.S. financial crisis and the slow post-recovery period. Mediocre income gains for middle income households have contributed to the slow recovery of U.S. consumption and economic growth.

Tagged with: Investing, Markets, U.S. Economy

India’s new government fires investor enthusiasm

The landslide victory of the pro-business Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has transformed investor sentiment towards India. As the new government puts its stamp on policy, it will create investment opportunities not only in the domestic economy but also in sectors exposed to government-led reform.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing

What to make of the rebound in emerging market equities

Despite continuing headlines of concern, EM markets have rebounded recently. In order to sustain that rally, we need to see progress on export volumes and political/economic reforms.
While not universally cheap, EM equity valuations are not unreasonable and we continue to find bottom-up opportunities.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing

Income inequality, disinflation and profit growth — the role of globalization

Income inequality has tended to rise in both developed and EM. Companies look across the globe to determine where they can manufacture their products at the lowest risk-adjusted cost.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Economy

Should investors be cheering Japan’s new stimulus program?

Stock markets rose on the announcement that the government of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was significantly stepping up its policy actions. The other major announcement was that the Government Pension Investment Fund will shift its asset allocation to domestic equities and foreign bonds/equities away from domestic bonds.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing

Finding opportunity in Japan’s recovery

In Japan, there is general optimism for a steady economic recovery, with a prevailing sense of confidence in reasonable valuations and a low bar for incremental improvement. Companies that can take advantage of global business opportunities look far more attractive than those simply waiting for a rising national tide to lift their boats.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Lifting the U.S. oil export ban — Who wins?

Industry participants and elected officials have made recent calls to reconsider the 40-year-old ban exporting U.S. oil. Lifting the crude export ban would strengthen the U.S. oil industry as well as the overall economy.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

Emerging market equities — Still a world of opportunity

Despite a disappointing last five years, the structural growth drivers that have long made emerging markets an attractive area in which to invest are as compelling as ever. While emerging markets may be a single asset class, they are anything but homogenous.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing

Investing selectively in Asia

Beneath the surface of slowdown headlines lay pockets of exciting growth opportunities. As companies step back from chasing revenue growth and start emphasizing profit delivery, better cash flows and dividend payouts typically follow.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing
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