Perspectives Blog

The end of “risk-on/risk-off”

Anwiti Bahuguna, Ph.D., Senior Portfolio Manager | February 3, 2014

The recent decline in cross-asset correlations may offer better investment opportunities for active managers Lowering both cross-asset correlations and inter-asset correlations provides potential benefits for structuring multi-asset portfolios Active managers should seek non-traditional diversifiers of portfolio performance and remain flexible A notable event of 2013 was the remarkable decline in cross-asset correlations implying potentially b…

Holding multiple investments does not ensure better diversification

Columbia Management, Investment Team | April 23, 2014

…nvestments to your portfolio. While this is true, the degree of risk reduction benefit depends directly upon the correlation of the portfolio’s assets. Correlation is the measure of how assets move relative to each other, usually in response to changing economic and market conditions. Highly correlated assets will more often move in unison (e.g., increase or decrease together), while assets with low, zero or negative correlations will behave more…

Take an active approach to selecting your active manager

Robert McConnaughey, Director of Global Research | April 7, 2014

…ted in the post-crisis years (Exhibit 1). We have already begun to see improving results from active managers as correlations have fallen to post-crisis lows (despite remaining above the longer term averages). Exhibit 1 Sources: Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC, S&P Capital IQ, Russell and Morningstar. The correlation long-term average timeframe is January 1990-March 31, 2014. Past performance does not guarantee future results. A…

2015 Outlook — Same song, slightly different arrangement

Jeffrey Knight, CFA, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation | December 15, 2014

…ity for bonds and by implied cost of equity capital for stocks) is plotted against the product of volatility and correlation to world equities. By incorporating correlation, we give credit to assets that offer a diversification benefit by adjusting the asset’s volatility downward as long as it has a correlation of less than one to world stocks. We believe this adjustment helps in the direct comparison of stocks and bonds from a risk-adjusted retu…

Building better portfolios in a low return world

Anwiti Bahuguna, Ph.D., Senior Portfolio Manager | November 17, 2014

The near-zero interest rate environment has been a support for the financial markets, but as the economy normalizes so will interest rates. While we expect the bull market in equities to continue, returns will likely be far more modest over the next 10 years. For bonds we can expect returns in the range of 2%-3% going forward. For investors looking for higher returns, solutions require a non-traditional approach to portfolio construction and mu…

Lower intrastock correlations favor alpha strategies

Columbia Management, Investment Team | May 14, 2014

From the Columbia Management Quantitative Strategies Equity Research Group 10-year timeline: Four periods of correlations and alpha 2003–2013 A: The pre-crisis period — Prior to the financial crisis, intrastock correlations were the lowest in the last 10 years, and for most of this time alpha was positive. B: The financial crisis — Unsurprisingly, alpha was worst during the 2008–2009 crisis. Surprisingly, given the breadth of the eq…

Opportunities in global infrastructure

Peter Santoro, Senior Portfolio Manager | February 3, 2014

Infrastructure investments may offer stable cash flows and diversification from more cyclical investments Infrastructure investments span the emerging and developed markets across many industries Today’s current market environment offers unprecedented opportunities for well-resourced investors Infrastructure represents the foundation for our day-to-day lives—the societal staples we rely on. And the stable fundamental demand drivers of infrastr…