Perspectives Blog

Global asset allocation outlook (September 2014)

Columbia Management Global Asset Allocation Team, | October 6, 2014

…particularly in September, has been negative across a widespread array of asset classes as we have seen the U.S. dollar exchange rate rise with increasing intensity in recent months. The worst returns, not coincidentally, were delivered by the very assets that have shown historically high sensitivity to dollar strength. This disruption to currency stability in general, and the particular importance of a rise in exchange value for the world’s rese…

Special report – Commodity markets outlook

Columbia Management, Investment Team | July 21, 2014

…some form of insurance or to diversify against their own currency risk are less concerned about buying the U.S. dollar than was the case. This is certainly true of the emerging markets. Just a few years ago central banks in emerging markets were buying gold as a diversifier. However, in the past year or so emerging market central banks have focused on addressing domestic problems and have required dollars, rather than gold, to support their curr…

The importance of taking a long-term perspective

Jeffrey Knight, CFA, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation | February 3, 2014

We examine the value in maintaining a long term outlook for major asset classes We review our forecast for several major asset classes over the next five years Why maintaining realistic expectations for long term asset class performance is so important For asset allocation decisions, we find great value in maintaining a long-term outlook for major asset classes. Twice a year, in fact, we conduct an extensive update of our five-year return fore…

Millennials, are you ready to take the next steps?

October 9, 2014

As a group, Millennials are intensely conservative when it comes to investments. Avoiding equities and saving cash in lower yielding, lower risk accounts is jeopardizing Millennials’ long-term financial security. Starting to save for retirement in early adulthood ensures a longer time horizon for investments to grow. Millennials, the generation in today’s workforce born after 1980, experienced the tech bubble and burst of the 1990s, and entere…

Release the doves

Marie M. Schofield, CFA, Chief Economist and Senior Portfolio Manager | October 20, 2014

The Fed (and all central banks) is highly sensitive to shifts in inflation expectations by either consumers or the markets. The one-year TIP breakeven appears to be pricing in some deflationary pulse and is also pulling down longer term inflation expectations across the curve. My expectations for growth are unchanged at 2.5%-3.0%, but I am concerned there may be some larger shortfall in demand next year for some reason we do not yet know. Whil…

Weekly market summary – 1/24/14

Columbia Management, Investment Team | January 27, 2014

Source: Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC Past performance does not guarantee future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. DESCRIPTION OF INDICES The Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is a market value-weighted index that tracks the daily price, coupon, pay-downs, and total return performance of fixed-rate, publicly placed, dollar-denominated, and non-convertible investment grade debt issues with at least $250…

Weekly market summary (1/31/14)

Columbia Management, Investment Team | February 3, 2014

Source: Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC Past performance does not guarantee future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. DESCRIPTION OF INDICES The Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is a market value-weighted index that tracks the daily price, coupon, pay-downs, and total return performance of fixed-rate, publicly placed, dollar-denominated, and non-convertible investment grade debt issues with at least $250…