Perspectives Blog

Looking for diversification in emerging markets

Columbia Management, Investment Team | July 30, 2013

Emerging markets have become a significant component of the global economy, with higher GDP growth rates compared to developed markets. The wide range of local conditions and growth drivers present in emerging markets makes them particularly interesting as a diversifier for investors already exposed to developed markets. We believe that, for diversification, investors should consider small-mid cap emerging markets investments. By the Columbia…

Not all emerging markets are created equal

Robert McConnaughey, Director of Global Research | January 27, 2014

We see emerging markets shifting from an environment of common thematic tailwinds to one of more idiosyncratic outcomes We believe that painting all emerging markets with a broad brush is a mistake We examine some of the key factors in uncovering EM investment opportunities Emerging markets (EM) is a term given to a universe of countries that is extremely diverse across a wide number of variables including geography, levels of industrializatio…

Emerging Markets: Waiting on exports

Anwiti Bahuguna, Ph.D., Senior Portfolio Manager | March 31, 2014

Exports by emerging market economies are the most important factor in explaining long-term growth. EM exports have remained sluggish for the past three years due in part to the subpar nature of global growth. As emerging markets struggle to overcome the challenges to their growth story, the EM landscape will likely face significant challenges ahead. Equity markets in the developed world did very well in 2013 while the picture was far more mixe…

What to make of the rebound in emerging market equities

Dara White, Senior Portfolio Manager | April 14, 2014

Despite continuing headlines of concern, EM markets have rebounded recently. In order to sustain that rally, we need to see progress on export volumes and political/economic reforms. While not universally cheap, EM equity valuations are not unreasonable and we continue to find bottom-up opportunities. A month ago, much of the news from the emerging markets (EM) was negative. We saw headlines highlighting the liquidity headwinds created by U.S….

Could tapering be good for stocks?

Fred Copper, Senior Portfolio Manager | December 16, 2013

Despite all the discussion surrounding quantitative easing (QE), there has been little theoretical justification for the link between QE and equity prices. Europe provides a glaring counter-example of the impact of central bank policy on financial markets. Once the psychic umbilical cord of QE is cut (tapered), the market may actually be cheered by the end of what has always been perceived as a temporary and extreme form of life support. Few i…

Comments on the effect on global markets from the Ukraine crisis

Mark Burgess, Chief Investment Officer, Threadneedle Investments | March 12, 2014

To date, the fallout from the Ukrainian crisis has been largely confined to the emerging market debt, emerging market equity and commodity markets. At current levels, emerging market local currency debt appears to offer value, although we expect both the hard and local currency markets to remain volatile in the short term. Emerging equities reflect concerns not only around Russia and Ukraine but also the weaker growth outlook in Brazil and China…

The importance of taking a long-term perspective

Jeffrey Knight, CFA, Head of Global Asset Allocation | February 3, 2014

…2014 have behaved quite opposite to this longer term expectation is not terribly alarming, since falling bond yields simply make prospective returns in fixed income that much less attractive, and the corrections across equity markets have not been material in the context of an expectation of a healthy compounded return over five years. We use these forecasts in another way, as well. Each time we update the five year view, we review each asset cla…