Search results for: equity markets

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Comments on the effect on global markets from the Ukraine crisis

To date, the fallout from the Ukrainian crisis has been largely confined to the emerging market debt, emerging market equity and commodity markets. At current levels, emerging market local currency debt appears to offer value, although we expect both the hard and local currency markets to remain volatile in the short term.

Tagged with: Global Economy

October — It always seems to happen in October!

Markets are now asking what happens if growth slows again in the U.S. and/or weak and slowing growth in Europe, Russia and China drags down U.S. and U.K. growth?

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Emerging Markets: Waiting on exports

Exports by emerging market economies are the most important factor in explaining long-term growth. EM exports have remained sluggish for the past three years due in part to the subpar nature of global growth.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Global market mid-year outlook

Overall macroeconomic picture in U.S. should push bond yields higher, particularly if the Fed stops its QE program later this year. We remain positive on emerging market debt while maintaining a bias against emerging market equities.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, U.S. Economy

Is Europe Heading for Japanese-style Deflation?

There are many parallels between the euro area today and Japan in the 1990s. The euro area appears to be on track to avert deflation in the short term.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Asset allocation — Kinetic vs. potential energy

While most equity markets had positive first half performance, we still expect modest acceleration in growth ahead for the global economy. From both a valuation perspective and investor sentiment viewpoint, Chinese, Russian and Japanese equities look cheap.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Investing, Markets

Finding opportunity in Chinese reforms

We continue to be excited about the opportunities to position in emerging markets ahead of positive change where market uncertainty still exists. Chinese corporate level governance reforms may be fertile ground for undiscovered investment opportunities.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing

What to make of the rebound in emerging market equities

Despite continuing headlines of concern, EM markets have rebounded recently. In order to sustain that rally, we need to see progress on export volumes and political/economic reforms.
While not universally cheap, EM equity valuations are not unreasonable and we continue to find bottom-up opportunities.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing

Interpreting the bond rally from a multi-asset perspective

A framework for identifying capital market states can help set expectations for markets in the aftermath of the recent bond rally. Our framework suggests a highly bullish market state for equities although that market state would shift to bearish if conditions became more neutral.

Tagged with: Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Markets
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