Perspectives Blog

Quality milestone in the European recovery story

March 17, 2014

Business, economic and political news all point to a strengthening recovery in Europe. We foresee a period of low inflation and low interest rates in Europe. We favor domestic European plays over internationally-exposed stocks, with an overweight stance in banking and telecoms. By Paul Doyle, Head of Europe ex. UK equities and Frederic Jeanmaire, Fund Manager, Threadneedle Investments After 18 consecutive negative months, the flow of eurozone…

European equities – Should investors care about periphery vs. core anymore?

Dan Ison, Portfolio Manager | January 13, 2014

The more dramatic the economic reforms, the better the stock market performance in the eurozone We expect nominal growth to be the key driver of an improving earnings picture in Europe European equities should show further good returns to investors in 2014 As we enter 2014 there are the usual questions, conversations and strategy pieces extolling the virtues of different regions and asset classes. 2013 saw a phoenix-like resurgence in interest…

An improving outlook for European equities

Philip Dicken, Head of European Equities, Threadneedle International Ltd | October 18, 2013

Economic data confirm that the Eurozone has exited recession. There are signs that corporate transactional activity is increasing as businesses become more financially secure. While Europe remains beset by challenges, the economic background is improving, valuations are looking more attractive and investors who have not been paying attention to European stocks may want to take a closer look. According to Eurostat, the 17 eurozone member states…

Could tapering be good for stocks?

Fred Copper, Senior Portfolio Manager | December 16, 2013

Despite all the discussion surrounding quantitative easing (QE), there has been little theoretical justification for the link between QE and equity prices. Europe provides a glaring counter-example of the impact of central bank policy on financial markets. Once the psychic umbilical cord of QE is cut (tapered), the market may actually be cheered by the end of what has always been perceived as a temporary and extreme form of life support. Few i…

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (as of February 24, 2014)

Columbia Management Global Asset Allocation Team, | March 10, 2014

Markets had a difficult start to the year. After experiencing negative returns in January, both U.S. and European equities recovered in February and are now slightly positive for the year. The best returns have come from U.S. small-cap equities along with shares of equities domiciled in the periphery of Europe. These two broad groups are both up mid-single digits. Emerging market equities continue to lag developed market performance. And, Japane…

What’s next for the U.S. dollar?

Nic Pifer, CFA, Sector Leader | July 18, 2013

The U.S. dollar has appreciated 6.6% year-to-date. The U.S. economy is much further along in the structural healing process than either Europe or Japan. We remain constructive on the outlook for the U.S. currency over the medium term, although we do expect some setbacks along the way. Year to date, the U.S. dollar has appreciated 6.6% on a trade-weighted basis. The U.S. currency has benefited this year from a growing sense that the U.S. econom…

Second quarter asset allocation positioning

Columbia Management, Investment Team | May 14, 2013

…y of high-quality, dividend-paying large companies. We maintain an underweight in the small- and mid-cap segments of the domestic market. We prefer U.S. stocks over international stocks, and although the financial stresses in Europe have abated somewhat, we continue to underweight European stocks. Growth prospects in the region are improving slowly but will trail the U.S. Equity valuations are somewhat attractive in Europe overall but the region…