Search results for: european debt crisis

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Is Europe Heading for Japanese-style Deflation?

There are many parallels between the euro area today and Japan in the 1990s. The euro area appears to be on track to avert deflation in the short term.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Is Europe heading for Japanese-style deflation?

Although there are many differences that should ensure that the eurozone does not follow Japan‘s fate, policymakers will need to act forcefully if the risk of deflation intensifies. While the euro area appears to be on track to avert deflation in the short term, many euro countries are “one crisis away from deflation.”
The European Central Bank (ECB) claims to be ahead of the game, but policy needs to be more pro-active.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing

Interest rates in a highly indebted economy

In a highly indebted economy, there is no fixed cap on the level of interest rates. Any increase in interest rates must be consistent with tolerable debt service ratios, the existing stock of debt and private sector savings.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing, Markets

Credit alternatives in government-backed debt

One way investors may boost yields without taking on undue credit risk is through U.S. government agency debt. While many investors associate U.S. agency debt with very low yields, other types of agency debt can offer significant spreads to Treasuries with a modest decline in liquidity.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

Comments on the effect on global markets from the Ukraine crisis

To date, the fallout from the Ukrainian crisis has been largely confined to the emerging market debt, emerging market equity and commodity markets. At current levels, emerging market local currency debt appears to offer value, although we expect both the hard and local currency markets to remain volatile in the short term.

Tagged with: Global Economy

Quality milestone in the European recovery story

Business, economic and political news all point to a strengthening recovery in Europe. We foresee a period of low inflation and low interest rates in Europe.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing, Markets

How bad is China’s credit crisis?

We look at the scope and impact of China’s credit crisis
We believe the possibility of a financial meltdown is low
We discuss how resolution of the crisis may unfold

News of a trust product on the brink of default has deepened the concerns of increasing instability of China’s financial system. The risk of defaults on trust and wealth management products will likely continue to impact markets.

Tagged with: Global Economy

Ukraine Crisis — Can the U.S. make Europe less dependent on Russian gas?

As Europe looks to diversify away from its dependence on Russian gas, the U.S. is on track to start exporting liquefied natural gas by as early as next year. Russia remains the largest exporter of natural gas in the world and accounts for approximately 30% of Europe’s gas demand, half of which is transported through Ukraine.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Economy

Reducing risk — Absolute return and the pursuit of better diversification

Most investors are familiar with diversification — reducing one’s risk profile (i.e, annual volatility) without affecting return by adding different asset classes or investments to your portfolio. While this is true, the degree of risk reduction benefit depends directly upon the correlation of the portfolio’s assets.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Markets

The role of income inequality

The rise in income inequality was a root cause of the U.S. financial crisis and the slow post-recovery period. Mediocre income gains for middle income households have contributed to the slow recovery of U.S. consumption and economic growth.

Tagged with: Investing, Markets, U.S. Economy
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