Perspectives Blog

Asset allocation — Where does fixed income fit it?

Columbia Management Global Asset Allocation Team, | August 25, 2014

Surprisingly solid returns for bonds in the first half could lead to disappointment in the second half of the year. We continue to believe high-yield bonds are worth holding, especially higher quality ones. Improved country fundamentals and strong technical support favor EM bonds but caution that returns could be less stable in the near term. So far this year, returns on bonds are positive, with longer duration U.S. bonds performing even bette…

Gut check: The outlook on fixed income

Colin J. Lundgren, CFA, Head of U.S. Fixed Income | February 24, 2014

The next big move in rates may be triggered by concerns about possible future Fed rate hikes. High-quality bonds may struggle to generate coupon-like returns. Emerging markets may ultimately benefit from the synchronized uptick in growth in global developed markets. With nearly two months of the year behind us, we thought now would be a good time to see how the fixed-income market is faring in 2014 and assess our outlook. We asked our investme…

Should your income be fixed?

David King, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager | December 16, 2013

…complementary. An investment where you expect complete return of your capital at a future point in time is conservative. So is an investment with regular, defined cash returns. No wonder high-quality government and corporate bonds are a huge asset class. It feels uncomfortable to challenge the merits of popular and conservative investment vehicles, but today there is basis for doing so. The historical role of bonds, bank term deposits, savings a…

Special report – 2014 mid-year review and outlook

Columbia Management, Investment Team | June 16, 2014

…nomic backdrop, interest rates in most developed markets look unsustainably low. We therefore expect meaningful increases in the second half of 2014 as bond markets begin to reflect the increasingly mature recovery. Municipal bonds James Dearborn, Head of municipal bonds investments Review: Municipal bonds had a strong first half of 2014. While the drop in Treasury rates since the end of 2013 is the primary reason for the strong performance, ther…

What’s the outlook for muni bonds?

James Dearborn, Head of Municipal Bonds | June 19, 2014

Strong YTD performance resulted from falling rates, a dearth of new supply and a resurgent demand by investors seeking attractive taxable-equivalent yields. We believe municipal bonds should continue to perform well in the second half of 2014. Yields on muni bonds are compelling when considering the impact of taxes on non-exempt securities. As we reach the halfway point of 2014, it’s a good opportunity to review our full-year outlook for the m…

The perils and pitfalls of buying individual municipal bonds

James Dearborn, Head of Municipal Bonds | February 27, 2014

Volatile ratings leave retail investors at risk Retail investors could pay higher prices Deck is stacked against retail investors With an increasing focus on the benefits of owning municipal bonds — attractive after-tax yields, low historical default rates and relatively low volatility — investors are again considering purchasing individual muni bonds. But the deck may be stacked against the retail investor. The allure of owning individual bon…

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (as of May 13, 2014)

Columbia Management Global Asset Allocation Team, | June 2, 2014

The global asset allocation team reaffirmed their recommendation to modestly overweight equities versus bonds, despite the slight underperformance of equities relative to bonds so far this year. The S&P 500 is up about 3.5% while the Barclay’s aggregate index is up 4.0% and longer dated bonds are up over 13%. This strong bond market performance is contrary to consensus expectations which had forecast yields to rise above 3.5% this year. With…