Search results for: government spending

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India’s new government fires investor enthusiasm

The landslide victory of the pro-business Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has transformed investor sentiment towards India. As the new government puts its stamp on policy, it will create investment opportunities not only in the domestic economy but also in sectors exposed to government-led reform.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing

Apparel retail doldrums

Since 2011, consumer spending has been below average overall, and spending on retail apparel has been especially poor. A host of factors, from shifting consumer priorities to poor inventory control have forced apparel retailers to compete on price, and sales and profitability have suffered dramatically.

Tagged with: U.S. Economy

Defense industry outlook — Looking past the headlines

The outlook for U.S. defense contractors has been improving despite all the negative headlines. Army spending is under pressure, but Navy and Air Force spending remain well supported.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

Is Europe Heading for Japanese-style Deflation?

There are many parallels between the euro area today and Japan in the 1990s. The euro area appears to be on track to avert deflation in the short term.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

A tepid cyclical lift

Cyclical investment and discretionary spending are on track to deliver earnings growth of 7% in the S&P 500. Strength in some consumer durables appears more of a “wallet share” gain than a general lift due to recovering wages or a release of excess savings.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing, Markets

How bad is China’s credit crisis?

We look at the scope and impact of China’s credit crisis
We believe the possibility of a financial meltdown is low
We discuss how resolution of the crisis may unfold

News of a trust product on the brink of default has deepened the concerns of increasing instability of China’s financial system. The risk of defaults on trust and wealth management products will likely continue to impact markets.

Tagged with: Global Economy

Credit alternatives in government-backed debt

One way investors may boost yields without taking on undue credit risk is through U.S. government agency debt. While many investors associate U.S. agency debt with very low yields, other types of agency debt can offer significant spreads to Treasuries with a modest decline in liquidity.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

Half-time report on the U.S. consumer

U.S. consumers have taken a more cautious attitude toward debt and been more selective about using it for discretionary purchases. With consumers using credit cards less and using debit cards much more, the supports for higher discretionary spending are keyed off income and wages and also employment.

Tagged with: Economy, U.S. Economy

Retail sector outlook — It’s a share game

We believe that many of the macro and micro headwinds experienced through 2013 will continue into 2014. Low correlations across apparel retailers and manufacturers provide opportunities to generate alpha through stock picking.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

The role of income inequality

The rise in income inequality was a root cause of the U.S. financial crisis and the slow post-recovery period. Mediocre income gains for middle income households have contributed to the slow recovery of U.S. consumption and economic growth.

Tagged with: Investing, Markets, U.S. Economy
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