Perspectives Blog

Antibiotic resistance – What it means for drug manufacturers, hospitals and diagnostic companies

Columbia Management, Investment Team | May 12, 2014

…sistance category across the investable healthcare spectrum. We anticipate increased new drug development and improvements in the identification and treatment of bugs and “super bugs.” By Aaron Reames, Walter Colsman, Harlan Sonderling and William Hite Overview Antibiotic resistance is a growing problem in the U.S. and abroad. Overuse of this drug class to treat illness coupled with widespread use of antibiotics in animals has led to new classes…

Predicting new drug sales is more art than science

Harlan Sonderling, CFA, Senior Healthcare Analyst | April 14, 2014

Predicting sales of new medicines is highly inaccurate and subject to significant and often costly errors. While investment analysts can draw on research tools and experience, history suggests new drug forecasting will remain more art than science. Despite the high level of uncertainty and variability in new drug forecasts, the innovative medicine industry is alive and well. Predicting sales of new medicines is highly inaccurate and subject to…

M&A in healthcare – Out with the old, in with the new?

Harlan Sonderling, CFA, Senior Healthcare Analyst | March 31, 2014

Recently the market has been quite optimistic about merger synergy promises. History suggests investors should be diligent about analyzing acquirers’ claims around merger benefits and returns. While attractive acquisitions may lie ahead, it is critical to continue to carefully evaluate acquirers’ strategies and claims. The “old” healthcare M&A In the “old days,” pharmaceutical Company A would announce its acquisition of Company B for stock…

Specialty pharmaceuticals – The fastest growing category of healthcare spending

Harlan Sonderling, CFA, Senior Healthcare Analyst | January 27, 2014

A complex industry has developed to manage the delivery and costs of the therapeutic innovations in specialty pharma Healthcare payers are focused on managing specialty pharma spending, their most rapidly growing medical cost The accelerating pace of change and disruptive therapeutic advances create significant opportunities across healthcare delivery Pharmaceuticals are central to the effort to improve medical outcomes and control medical cos…

Death, taxes and Medicaid expansion

Harlan Sonderling, CFA, Senior Healthcare Analyst | September 8, 2014

Almost as certain as death and taxes is Medicaid expansion under ACA and the move by states toward Medicaid managed care and away from traditional fee-for-service. Medicaid managed care enrollment will expand as states transition beneficiaries from fee-for-service coverage to managed care and the “opt-in” states broaden eligibility. Medicaid coverage expansion will be a source of accelerating revenue and earnings within the managed care industr…