Search results for: home sales

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Predicting new drug sales is more art than science

Predicting sales of new medicines is highly inaccurate and subject to significant and often costly errors. While investment analysts can draw on research tools and experience, history suggests new drug forecasting will remain more art than science.

Tagged with: Investing

U.S. housing — A positive signal amidst the noise

While there has been a broad slowing in the last 15 months, the U.S. housing market has stabilized and started to recover. Homebuilders are catering to upscale buyers where financing is less of a constraint, and also building larger and more expensive homes.

Tagged with: Economy, U.S. Economy

Missing links and multipliers

Several forces are colliding now and causing a downshift in the trajectory of the U.S. housing recovery. Household formations remain at multi-year lows due in large part to mediocre income and job gains in combination with high student loan debt by 25 – 45 year old homebuyers.

Tagged with: Economy, U.S. Economy

Apparel retail doldrums

Since 2011, consumer spending has been below average overall, and spending on retail apparel has been especially poor. A host of factors, from shifting consumer priorities to poor inventory control have forced apparel retailers to compete on price, and sales and profitability have suffered dramatically.

Tagged with: U.S. Economy

A tepid cyclical lift

Cyclical investment and discretionary spending are on track to deliver earnings growth of 7% in the S&P 500. Strength in some consumer durables appears more of a “wallet share” gain than a general lift due to recovering wages or a release of excess savings.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing, Markets

Data breaches — What they mean for retailers, consumers and investors

More than 1,000 retailers have been affected by the same malware that caused Target and Home Depot data breaches. The number of data breaches will continue to increase and cost retailers millions in IT spending and damage control.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

Thoughts on navigating market volatility in today’s technology markets

We are seeing a market rotation from momentum to value on macro factors and internal market dynamics. Keys are to stay diversified, look for businesses with strong moats and that produce solid cash flow and compare to historical valuations.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

The price of flexibility

Disruption from the West Coast port strikes is likely to continue for several months. The situation could pressure both sales and margin for retailers ahead of the Easter holiday.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Perspectives, Investing

Half-time report on the U.S. consumer

U.S. consumers have taken a more cautious attitude toward debt and been more selective about using it for discretionary purchases. With consumers using credit cards less and using debit cards much more, the supports for higher discretionary spending are keyed off income and wages and also employment.

Tagged with: Economy, U.S. Economy
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