Search results for: michael taylor

Detroit and Stockton are game changers for municipalities in fiscal distress

Contrary to past experience and conventional wisdom, general obligation bonds are not sacrosanct and very low recovery rates are possible. Pensioners and other politically favored classes are likely to be treated more kindly than bondholders.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing, Muni Perspectives Blog

Data dependence, broadly defined – Implications of last week’s Fed meeting

Last week’s FOMC meeting was the third largest dovish surprise in the QE era, only bested by the original QE1 announcement and the September 2013 “no taper” decision. We continue to expect the FOMC to hike rates in September, and the pace of rate hikes thereafter should be faster than markets are currently pricing.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing

Detroit and Stockton are game changers for municipalities in fiscal distress

Are the Detroit and Stockton bankruptcies and how they were handled representative of what’s to come? Here muni senior analysts Ty Schoback and Michael Taylor discuss these cases and Chapter 9 more broadly, especially concerning trends in recovery rates for bondholders.

Labor markets in the new digital age

The downside to technological progress is short-term dislocations and job loss for those displaced by automation. Workers with high skills and advanced education command a wage premium while unskilled and lower-skilled workers are displaced which aggravates income inequality.

Tagged with: Economy, U.S. Economy

Building wealth through dividend investing

We believe a disciplined dividend strategy that focuses on rising dividends produced by high-quality companies can help investors build wealth over time. Historically,  dividends have been an important component of total return, with the best opportunity for total return in the stocks of high-quality companies that can sustain and grow their dividend over time.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

U.S. rates — Data dependence

Evidence of data dependency at the June FOMC meeting suggests policy will respond to unemployment and inflation surprises. We are more confident the Fed’s reaction function is (nearly) done moving.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing, U.S. Economy

Rising rates and REIT returns

While REITs typically demonstrate some interest rate sensitivity and sometimes have a “knee-jerk” reaction down when rates first move up, performance has often rebounded. An improving economy has the potential to dampen the effects of duration risk and interest rate sensitivity, given the increased earnings and dividend growth REITs can produce.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

Predatory trading — Just how big an issue is high-speed trading?

In recent years, U.S. equity markets have become far more complex, competitive and fragmented. Against that backdrop, high-frequency trading was born.

Tagged with: Markets

The case for active bond management

There have been instances where the passive approach to bond investing produced significant underperformance relative to a benchmark. Index funds are at a significant disadvantage to active portfolios in which managers incorporate valuation into their decision making process.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

Data breaches — What they mean for retailers, consumers and investors

More than 1,000 retailers have been affected by the same malware that caused Target and Home Depot data breaches. The number of data breaches will continue to increase and cost retailers millions in IT spending and damage control.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

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