Perspectives Blog

Thoughts on navigating market volatility in today’s technology markets

Rahul Narang, Senior Portfolio Manager | April 28, 2014

…and Internet. In recent weeks there has been a dramatic shift in alpha generation from hyper growth technology stocks to more value-oriented names. We can attribute this to a number of factors: 1) improving economic data means a lower multiple for hyper growth stocks and higher multiples for value/cyclical names; 2) Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s reaffirmation of the taper; 3) geopolitical upheavals; 4) prime brokerage data suggests that hedge funds…

A less certain world favors high-quality stocks

Philip Dicken, Head of European Equities, Threadneedle International Ltd | October 6, 2014

…d the bond proxies to perform so well this year. We surmised that some of the more domestically-focused European stocks would outperform as the economic recovery became more embedded — a reasonable assumption given what has happened in other developed markets in recovery mode, such as the UK Therefore, we started 2014 with a bias towards higher-quality, domestically focused stocks in areas including financials, transport and leisure, media, and s…

Three investments that could return to favor in 2014

Jeffrey Knight, CFA, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation | December 16, 2013

…ws The three criteria we look for in identifying an out of favor asset class or investment strategy Why Japanese stocks, EM stocks and active equity strategies may soon be rediscovered When investors lose confidence in an asset class, especially one that had been popular enough to attract outsized allocations, subsequent rebalancing generally leads to prolonged periods of underperformance. Technology stocks after 1999, for example, underperforme…

Special report – 2014 mid-year review and outlook

Columbia Management, Investment Team | June 16, 2014

Key investment professionals review the first half of 2014 and share their insights into what may be ahead for the second half of the year. Interest rates Zach Pandl, Portfolio manager and strategist Review: Government bond yields declined in early 2014, both in the U.S. and in other developed market economies. This surprising change in course after increases in 2013 caught many investors off guard. In our view, declining interest rates reflect…

Global market mid-year outlook

Mark Burgess, Chief Investment Officer, Threadneedle Investments | June 16, 2014

Overall macroeconomic picture in U.S. should push bond yields higher, particularly if the Fed stops its QE program later this year. We remain positive on emerging market debt while maintaining a bias against emerging market equities. Overall equity markets have been strong and current index levels suggest that investors still have confidence in the outlook for profits. Global equities and global bonds made progress in May with the former outpa…

Is there opportunity in small-cap banks?

Jeremy Javidi, Senior Portfolio Manager | November 3, 2014

As profitability rebounded from the financial crisis and return on assets improved in 2012 and 2013, the banking industry once again began to outperform. We continue to see growth in commercial and industrial loans as a positive indication for the economy. These loans also provide the growth of assets for the banks. Given their improving profitability, discounted valuation and strong growth, we believe that small-cap banks are an increasingly a…

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (June 2014)

Columbia Management Global Asset Allocation Team, | June 30, 2014

…e looking a little rich but not enough to remain an underweight at this point. Within U.S. we upgraded small-cap stocks from an underweight to a neutral position. Small-cap stocks sold off sharply in the first few months of the year and were down nearly 10%. Going forward, we expect small caps to perform in line with large caps. The U.S. economy shrank more than expected in the first quarter but incoming data in the second quarter points to a reb…