Search results for: oil

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Oil at $70 — How will the markets rebalance?

Lower oil prices should translate into higher demand as a result of cheaper petroleum prices and through higher global GDP growth, which in turn drives oil demand. While there are several factors that could serve to offset this higher demand, we should see some additional demand as a result of lower prices.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing, Markets

Turmoil in Iraq — Implications for the oil market

The impact of Iraq’s turmoil on oil prices has been fairly muted, but any escalation of violence could pose a serious threat to the stability of global oil markets. With Iraq accounting for the majority of OPEC’s production growth, the market has started to rethink long term supply-demand dynamics and adjust commodity forecasts.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Oil and the high yield market

By Jennifer Ponce de Leon, Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of High Yield and Mark Van Holland, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager 

Size of the Energy Sector

Because the energy sector is a large component of the U.S. high yield market relative to some other asset classes, the market has received increased scrutiny due to recent declines in oil prices. Prior to the recent sell off, energy accounted for more than 15% of the high yield market, making it by far the largest industry (healthcare is the second largest at approximately 8.5%).

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

Three’s a party in India

Investors are concluding that the prospects for EM equities are as dim as ever. Yet evaluating EM as a monolithic whole is outdated and dangerous.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives

Oil price decline mostly positive for municipals…at least for now

Most states and local governments should benefit from higher tax receipts as more consumer discretionary income leads to a pick-up in spending. Negative effects will be localized around energy producing areas, especially if oil prices stay low for an extended period.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Muni Perspectives Blog

Commodities – Time to start reloading

Base metals, U.S. natural gas, grains and now oil are all trading at price levels that are signalling producers to cut production. We see the over-production of oil as temporary and the market balancing in Q3 2015, and while this will leave significant inventories to work through, prices should recover into year end.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing

Special report — Commodity markets outlook

In the following Q&A, David Donora, Head of Commodities for Threadneedle Investments, addresses some of the key concerns currently facing investors in commodity markets, and explains his view of the outlook for the market. What is your outlook for commodities for the remainder of 2014?

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Global market outlook

In equity markets, we are generally positive on the major regions except emerging markets, which we continue to underweight. There are some selective opportunities in EM countries benefitting from lower oil prices and where the respective governments have committed to business-friendly reforms.
In bond markets, we see an increasing disconnect between the U.S. and UK, where yields should move higher, and Europe, where the ECB began intervening in secondary markets on 9 March.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives

The pursuit of pricing power

Recent oil and commodity price declines have raised concerns about global deflation and price stability. Areas with pricing power deserve a premium, and as with any merchandise, when it is increasingly scarce, that premium can become substantial.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Perspectives, Investing, Markets

Obsolescence and disruption – The new capacity utilization

We believe that company- and industry-specific forces will remain important factors in stock selection. We will continue to look for companies that are making smart investments in the future.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing
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