Search results for: threadneedle

A less certain world favors high-quality stocks

Current sentiment indicators do not suggest that Europe is heading back towards recession, though GDP growth will remain subdued. If Q3 sees a rebound, full QE may be unlikely this year, but any further weakness will increase the pressure on the ECB to act.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Special report — Commodity markets outlook

In the following Q&A, David Donora, Head of Commodities for Threadneedle Investments, addresses some of the key concerns currently facing investors in commodity markets, and explains his view of the outlook for the market. What is your outlook for commodities for the remainder of 2014?

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Implications of a stronger U.S. dollar

The U.S. dollar could continue to perform well, but there is a short-term case as to why dollar strength could be accompanied by more asset class volatility. Currency markets are moving ahead of what interest rate markets are telling us, so there is a disconnect.

Tagged with: Global Economy, U.S. Economy

Quality milestone in the European recovery story

Business, economic and political news all point to a strengthening recovery in Europe. We foresee a period of low inflation and low interest rates in Europe.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Is Europe heading for Japanese-style deflation?

Although there are many differences that should ensure that the eurozone does not follow Japan‘s fate, policymakers will need to act forcefully if the risk of deflation intensifies. While the euro area appears to be on track to avert deflation in the short term, many euro countries are “one crisis away from deflation.”
The European Central Bank (ECB) claims to be ahead of the game, but policy needs to be more pro-active.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing

Global market mid-year outlook

Overall macroeconomic picture in U.S. should push bond yields higher, particularly if the Fed stops its QE program later this year. We remain positive on emerging market debt while maintaining a bias against emerging market equities.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, U.S. Economy

Income inequality, disinflation and profit growth — the role of globalization

Income inequality has tended to rise in both developed and EM. Companies look across the globe to determine where they can manufacture their products at the lowest risk-adjusted cost.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Economy

Is Europe Heading for Japanese-style Deflation?

There are many parallels between the euro area today and Japan in the 1990s. The euro area appears to be on track to avert deflation in the short term.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

ECB QE – A boost for markets but not a cure of all ills

We are positive on the financial market impact of European QE if it brings down risk premia such as peripheral bond spreads. The tendency amongst investors will be to own more risk assets such as equities, particularly as the ECB’s move will help to keep interest rates low globally.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing

Comments on the effect on global markets from the Ukraine crisis

To date, the fallout from the Ukrainian crisis has been largely confined to the emerging market debt, emerging market equity and commodity markets. At current levels, emerging market local currency debt appears to offer value, although we expect both the hard and local currency markets to remain volatile in the short term.

Tagged with: Global Economy

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