Search results for: valuations

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Digging deeper for market valuations

When discounted for index composition, U.S. equities are not trading at a significant premium to Europe. One can draw some very misleading conclusions about any disparate group by only looking at the aggregates.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing, Markets

U.S. rates — When the facts change

Prospective returns for Treasuries now look poor across the curve—not just at the front end. Yield curves tend to flatten as central banks raise short-term rates, but valuations have now moved beyond the point where these trades make sense.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, U.S. Economy

Thoughts on navigating market volatility in today’s technology markets

We are seeing a market rotation from momentum to value on macro factors and internal market dynamics. Keys are to stay diversified, look for businesses with strong moats and that produce solid cash flow and compare to historical valuations.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (as of February 24, 2014)

Markets had a difficult start to the year. After experiencing negative returns in January, both U.S. and European equities recovered in February and are now slightly positive for the year.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Markets

Interest rates — Farewell, liquidity trap

The U.S. Treasury market as a whole has returned +1% annualized since the end of 2012 (and +0.5% annualized since the low in 10-year yields in July 2012). Because of imminent Fed rate hikes and depressed yield levels, prospective returns look no better today.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing

Special report — 2014 mid-year review and outlook

Key investment professionals review the first half of 2014 and share their insights into what may be ahead for the second half of the year. Interest rates

Zach Pandl, Portfolio manager and strategist

Review:

Government bond yields declined in early 2014, both in the U.S. and in other developed market economies.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, U.S. Economy

What to make of the rebound in emerging market equities

Despite continuing headlines of concern, EM markets have rebounded recently. In order to sustain that rally, we need to see progress on export volumes and political/economic reforms.
While not universally cheap, EM equity valuations are not unreasonable and we continue to find bottom-up opportunities.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing

Scarce growth — Can the tortoises continue to outpace the hares?

Recent selloff has tested stance that investors would benefit from seeking scarce growth, so long as that growth did not become wildly overvalued. We appear to be moving into a “sorting out” stage where investors begin to more granularly assess both the fundamentals and the incremental opportunities.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing, Markets

Slack and Inflation

Low unemployment rate indicates modest slack in labor market. Decline in labor force participation now looks mostly structural.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, U.S. Economy

Finding bond opportunities throughout the business cycle

Global bond markets respond in different ways throughout the business cycle. A flexible strategy can adapt its risk complexion to capture opportunities and mitigate downside.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing
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