Perspectives Blog

Fixed income strategies – The pros and cons of generating returns with negative duration

Columbia Management, Investment Team | July 14, 2014

…ts benefit from the decrease in prices). A fund selling enough Treasury futures would achieve a negative duration profile. Keep in mind that selling Treasury futures is not free and can actually cost the portfolio in terms of yield and total return if the yield curve shifts down. What a portfolio manager is doing is selling Treasury futures on a specific maturity (e.g., selling the 5- or 10-year Treasury) and essentially betting that the yield on…

Hungry for income? High yield munis could be your meal ticket

Chad Farrington, CFA, Head of Municipal Bond Credit Research and Senior Portfolio Manager | May 28, 2014

High yield muni bonds represent an attractive investment opportunity Professional money managers can help with the intricacies of the high yield muni space Current income and potential tax advantages in the high yield space Attractive yields, potential for price appreciation Many investors are concerned about the prospect of rising interest rates and the impact higher rates may have on bonds, especially since we’ve been in a very low rate envi…

Don’t throw the baby out with the bath water – The case for long muni bond funds

Catherine Stienstra, Senior Portfolio Manager | January 29, 2014

…, state and/or federal income taxes. As tax rates move higher, investments that provide income exempt from taxes, such as municipal bonds, become more appealing. There was a significant increase in rates and steepening of the yield curve in 2013, as the yield on the 30-year AAA muni bond increased by 134 basis points, ending the year at 4.19%. While we expect rates to gradually move higher over the next year, we believe that most of the movement…

Compelling opportunity in municipal bonds

Catherine Stienstra, Senior Portfolio Manager | November 7, 2013

Municipal bond market movements have provided an attractive opportunity to lock in attractive yields. Although credit problems in Detroit and Puerto Rico made headlines, these issues are not representative of the broad municipal market — the number of municipal defaults is at its lowest level since at least 2009. With rising tax rates, the advantages of tax-exempt income can be considerable. Attractive yields vs. corporate and Treasury b…

Q2 fixed income outlook – Hitting for the cycle

Gene Tannuzzo, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager | March 31, 2014

We have started to reduce exposure to high-quality bonds with limited upside potential and high-yield bonds in which credit risk appears too aggressive. Following weakness last year, emerging market debt has posted gains this year, and we expect further strength ahead as volatility subsides. While we expect a flatter yield curve over the next few months as investors focus on the timing and pace of rate increases, we don’t think they should avoi…

U.S. rates — View update

Zach Pandl, Portfolio Manager and Strategist | April 4, 2014

the last couple of months we have argued that portfolios should remain underweight duration and be especially cautious about the 3-5yr part of the curve. Broadly speaking this view remains intact, and we still expect Treasury yields to rise meaningfully over the coming months. However, we now have less conviction that 3-5yr Treasuries will continue to underperform on the curve. Compared to the market consensus, our views have been more negative o…

What’s the outlook for muni bonds?

James Dearborn, Head of Municipal Bonds | June 19, 2014

Strong YTD performance resulted from falling rates, a dearth of new supply and a resurgent demand by investors seeking attractive taxable-equivalent yields. We believe municipal bonds should continue to perform well in the second half of 2014. Yields on muni bonds are compelling when considering the impact of taxes on non-exempt securities. As we reach the halfway point of 2014, it’s a good opportunity to review our full-year outlook for the m…