Marie M. Schofield, CFA, Chief Economist and Senior Portfolio Manager
Marie Schofield is chief economist and senior portfolio manager at Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC (CMIA). Ms. Schofield is a member of the firm’s investment strategy committee and leads the effort on macroeconomic research and strategy. She is also a member of the asset allocation team. Prior to her current role, she served as head of the core fixed-income team in Boston from 2001 through 2006 and as senior strategist for the fixed-income strategy group from 2006 through 2008. Ms. Schofield joined the firm* in 1990 and has been a member of the investment community since 1975.
Prior to joining the firm, Ms. Schofield was a portfolio manager at Trustco Bancorp NY, Chittenden Bank and BayBanks Investment Management.
Ms. Schofield earned a B.S. from the College of Saint Rose and is a member of the CFA Institute, the Boston Security Analysts Society, the Fixed Income Management Society of Boston and the Boston Economic Club. In addition, she holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation.
Economic data seem largely unchanged from past trends, despite uptick in retail sales. Consumers continued to pare their debt last quarter continuing a nearly five-year trend. Given consumer deleveraging, consumption remains tethered to income gains – and those gains remain sub-par. Last week’s economic data give a very mixed picture of the health of the
Latest payroll data came in below expectations, but it will not change the Fed’s view on tapering quantitative easing sometime before year end. Disproportionate gains in part-time workers warrant higher scrutiny for a number of reasons, including implications for income and consumer spending. Payroll data supports the view that the economy seems stuck near 2% real growth
Second quarter GDP data looks soft, including a wider trade deficit and cuts in government spending. Positive factors include steady consumer spending and upcoming changes in the way GDP will be calculated. Growth is poised to improve in the second half, but the Fed’s models and forecasts seem overly optimistic. Final second quarter GDP data
Surge in tax receipts allows the U.S. Treasury to report the largest budget surplus in five years. What is good for the Treasury and the budget presents some burden on households; taxpayer refunds are down 3.5% this year versus last. Recent deficit improvement may give a false sense of security and delay critical entitlement reforms.
First quarter advance estimate of GDP shows annualized growth of 2.5%, which was below expectations. Positive contributions from personal consumption, fixed investment and inventories were shaved by negative contributions from net exports and government expenditures. This quarter’s weaker economic data will temper views of the Fed backing away from quantitative easing (QE) sooner rather than
The views expressed in this material are the views of the author through the date of publication and are subject to change without notice at any time based upon market and other factors. All information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the current accuracy, reliability or completeness of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information and it should not be relied on as such. This information may contain certain statements that may be deemed forward-looking statements. Please note that any such statements are not guarantees of any future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those discussed. There is no guarantee that investment objectives will be achieved or that any particular investment will be profitable. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This information is not intended to provide investment advice and does not account for individual investor circumstances. Investment decisions should always be made based on an investor's specific financial needs, objectives, goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. Please see our social media guidelines.