The near-zero interest rate environment has been a support for the financial markets, but as the economy normalizes so will interest rates. While we expect the bull market in equities to continue, returns will likely be far more modest over the next 10 years. For bonds we can expect returns in the range of 2%-3%
30 years equals about 11,000 days. One might assume that eliminating a few of those days would have little impact on investment performance during that time. Yet, if the ten best days of the S&P 500 Index for the period 1983- 2013 are excluded, the average annual return drops from 8.40% to 5.80%. If the twenty
Q: What indications did you observe that pointed to the recent market volatility storm? A: In our adaptive risk allocation framework, one of the key first level characterizations we make on markets is whether interest rates are normal or too low. Instead of rising as most expected, interest rates moved lower and lower this summer.
There were no changes from the previous month. Source: Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC. The chart reflects the views of the Global Asset Allocation team as of October 17, 2014. Asset classes are ranked from 1 (overweight) to 5 (underweight), with 3 representing a neutral allocation.
Watch Jeff Knight, CFA, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation, explain his view of the markets and what’s next for investors. Taking a cross-asset perspective, Knight looks at some key trends leading up to the recent market volatility, including falling U.S. bond yields, economic slowdown in Europe and a strengthening U.S. dollar. Given
After the recent correction and with the breadth of our asset allocation research still favoring equities, we are rebuilding an equity overweight, primarily using U.S. large-cap stocks. While the Fed heads toward the exit, the European Central Bank is planning to provide further monetary easing and the Bank of Japan is continuing to expand its
Recent market performance, particularly in September, has been negative across a widespread array of asset classes as we have seen the U.S. dollar exchange rate rise with increasing intensity in recent months. The worst returns, not coincidentally, were delivered by the very assets that have shown historically high sensitivity to dollar strength. This disruption to