Latest Perspectives

Economy

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The strong U.S. dollar has weighed on the results of global firms that report in dollars. But investors think there may be some end-market weakness hiding in the currency translation effects.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives

Fed officials should be encouraged by the ECB’s announcement to begin a large-scale bond buying program in an effort to shore up growth and prevent deflation. The action reduces downside risks to global growth, and thus the risks of spillovers to the domestic economy.

Tagged with: Economic/Markets Outlook, Economy, Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing

Investors should understand the risks in their portfolio, and be cognizant that black swan events can occur much more frequently than models suggest. Risk models are extremely helpful when thinking about portfolio construction, but shouldn’t be relied upon exclusively.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Economy, Global Perspectives

While financial markets have seen massive gains from the darkest days of 2008’s financial crisis, the global economy has yet to fully recover to robust growth levels, and expectations for future market returns are far more modest. In this video, Robert McConnaughey, Global Director of Research at Columbia Management, explains his top investment strategies for 2015, given this conservative outlook for overall market tailwinds.

Tagged with: Economic/Markets Outlook, Economy, Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

A convenient, comprehensive reference that looks both back and forward to bring today’s economy, markets and investing opportunities sharply into view. The Q1 2015 MarketTrack — featuring more than 40 charts and graphs accompanied by straightforward commentary — is now available.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Columbia Funds, Economic/Markets Outlook, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, Markets, Uncategorized

The U.S. Treasury market as a whole has returned +1% annualized since the end of 2012 (and +0.5% annualized since the low in 10-year yields in July 2012). Because of imminent Fed rate hikes and depressed yield levels, prospective returns look no better today.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing

Last week’s news suggests that the center of the FOMC continues to see interest rate hikes in the middle of next year as most appropriate. December 17 looks like a natural time to begin signaling the possibility of rate hikes to financial markets—an eventuality for which bond investors do not look prepared.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income

It is unclear if recent improvements in U.S. labor market data are due to less slack or government-related measures to support worker income and benefits. Occupations with some scarcity of qualified labor have seen some wage pressures, but the gains are likely due to one-time minimum wage hikes.

Tagged with: Economy, U.S. Economy

Watch Zach Pandl, portfolio manager and strategist, explain what the end of the Fed’s Quantitative Easing program means for investors. QE is over because it succeeded, which is good news.

Tagged with: Economy, Investing

While QE proved very effective in reinforcing the Fed’s communication about short-term interest rates, there could be simpler ways to achieve the same outcome. The U.S. experience with QE suggests it would be effective in Europe.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing
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