To date, the fallout from the Ukrainian crisis has been largely confined to the emerging market debt, emerging market equity and commodity markets. At current levels, emerging market local currency debt appears to offer value, although we expect both the hard and local currency markets to remain volatile in the short term. Emerging equities reflect
Income inequality has tended to rise in both developed and EM. Companies look across the globe to determine where they can manufacture their products at the lowest risk-adjusted cost. We believe that the global unit labor cost arbitrage is likely to continue for many decades. By Marie Schofield, Chief Economist and Toby Nangle, Head of
There is no consensus on the root causes of slow growth. As economists seek explanations, the secular stagnation theory has re-emerged. Strong evidence suggests the neutral real rate has fallen. (But is it negative? We explore this question in this continuing series over the next few weeks.) By Marie Schofield, Chief Economist and Toby Nangle,
What’s behind the Japanese stock market’s recent correction? What’s ahead for Japan’s stock market, currency and government policy? Why the risk/reward tradeoff looks attractive at current price levels Abenomics has already had a bigger impact on the Japanese economy and financial assets than the failed attempt at quantitative easing between 2001 and 2006 (see chart).
We examine the value in maintaining a long term outlook for major asset classes We review our forecast for several major asset classes over the next five years Why maintaining realistic expectations for long term asset class performance is so important For asset allocation decisions, we find great value in maintaining a long-term outlook for
The recent decline in cross-asset correlations may offer better investment opportunities for active managers Lowering both cross-asset correlations and inter-asset correlations provides potential benefits for structuring multi-asset portfolios Active managers should seek non-traditional diversifiers of portfolio performance and remain flexible A notable event of 2013 was the remarkable decline in cross-asset correlations implying potentially better
Infrastructure investments may offer stable cash flows and diversification from more cyclical investments Infrastructure investments span the emerging and developed markets across many industries Today’s current market environment offers unprecedented opportunities for well-resourced investors Infrastructure represents the foundation for our day-to-day lives—the societal staples we rely on. And the stable fundamental demand drivers of infrastructure