Latest Perspectives

Economy

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Jeffrey Knight, CFA, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation, offers an overview of what has been a very straightforward investment year. Seeing gains across all the major asset classes in similar magnitude — in stocks worldwide, in bonds worldwide, credit markets, commodity markets, the market remain optimistic for the balance of the year.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, U.S. Economy

As Europe looks to diversify away from its dependence on Russian gas, the U.S. is on track to start exporting liquefied natural gas by as early as next year. Russia remains the largest exporter of natural gas in the world and accounts for approximately 30% of Europe’s gas demand, half of which is transported through Ukraine.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Economy

U.S. consumers have taken a more cautious attitude toward debt and been more selective about using it for discretionary purchases. With consumers using credit cards less and using debit cards much more, the supports for higher discretionary spending are keyed off income and wages and also employment.

Tagged with: Economy, U.S. Economy

Today’s low unemployment rate indicates modest slack in labor market, which implies earlier Fed rate hikes and/or more inflation risk. The decline in labor force participation in recent years now looks mostly structural.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing

IMCA Jeff Knight Interview

The Investment Management Consultants Association (IMCA) interviewed Jeff Knight recently and he spoke about the three pillars of a resilient portfolio for today’s environment. Many investors are looking to preserve post-crisis gains and bolster the defensive dimension of their portfolios to better withstand volatility.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Global Economy, Investing

Long-maturity bond yields are determined at a global level. Abnormally low forward rates are not just a U.S. phenomenon: there’s been a similar shift in the relationship between rates and growth across developed markets.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, U.S. Economy

Low unemployment rate indicates modest slack in labor market. Decline in labor force participation now looks mostly structural.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, U.S. Economy

The impact of Iraq’s turmoil on oil prices has been fairly muted, but any escalation of violence could pose a serious threat to the stability of global oil markets. With Iraq accounting for the majority of OPEC’s production growth, the market has started to rethink long term supply-demand dynamics and adjust commodity forecasts.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Evidence of data dependency at the June FOMC meeting suggests policy will respond to unemployment and inflation surprises. We are more confident the Fed’s reaction function is (nearly) done moving.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing, U.S. Economy

Key investment professionals review the first half of 2014 and share their insights into what may be ahead for the second half of the year. Interest rates

Zach Pandl, Portfolio manager and strategist

Review:

Government bond yields declined in early 2014, both in the U.S. and in other developed market economies.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, U.S. Economy
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