U.S. Economy

Gaps, not growth

Zach Pandl, Portfolio Manager and Strategist | February 25, 2014

Monetary policy is primarily about “gaps” not growth: the Fed is trying to reduce spare capacity in the economy, not bring about a rapid expansion per se. Despite concerns over cyclical weakness in labor force participation, the unemployment rate is sending similar signals as most other output gap proxies. The output gap improved despite a

Slow growth: Why is it here and will it stay?

February 24, 2014

There is no consensus on the root causes of slow growth. As economists seek explanations, the secular stagnation theory has re-emerged. Strong evidence suggests the neutral real rate has fallen. (But is it negative? We explore this question in this continuing series over the next few weeks.) By Marie Schofield, Chief Economist and Toby Nangle,

Opportunities in global infrastructure

Peter Santoro, Senior Portfolio Manager | February 3, 2014

Infrastructure investments may offer stable cash flows and diversification from more cyclical investments Infrastructure investments span the emerging and developed markets across many industries Today’s current market environment offers unprecedented opportunities for well-resourced investors Infrastructure represents the foundation for our day-to-day lives—the societal staples we rely on. And the stable fundamental demand drivers of infrastructure