Q: What indications did you observe that pointed to the recent market volatility storm? A: In our adaptive risk allocation framework, one of the key first level characterizations we make on markets is whether interest rates are normal or too low. Instead of rising as most expected, interest rates moved lower and lower this summer.
There were no changes from the previous month. Source: Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC. The chart reflects the views of the Global Asset Allocation team as of October 17, 2014. Asset classes are ranked from 1 (overweight) to 5 (underweight), with 3 representing a neutral allocation.
As profitability rebounded from the financial crisis and return on assets improved in 2012 and 2013, the banking industry once again began to outperform. We continue to see growth in commercial and industrial loans as a positive indication for the economy. These loans also provide the growth of assets for the banks. Given their improving
Stock markets rose on the announcement that the government of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was significantly stepping up its policy actions. The other major announcement was that the Government Pension Investment Fund will shift its asset allocation to domestic equities and foreign bonds/equities away from domestic bonds. The near term risk/return profile currently looks very
After the recent correction and with the breadth of our asset allocation research still favoring equities, we are rebuilding an equity overweight, primarily using U.S. large-cap stocks. While the Fed heads toward the exit, the European Central Bank is planning to provide further monetary easing and the Bank of Japan is continuing to expand its
Markets are now asking what happens if growth slows again in the U.S. and/or weak and slowing growth in Europe, Russia and China drags down U.S. and U.K. growth? The stock market downturn is a reaction to changes in growth expectations and the volatility of that growth. Market assumptions for steady growth did not necessarily
While consensus suggests a slightly better than average chance of a GOP takeover, battle for control of the U.S. Senate is going to be a dramatically close call. When we examine how a GOP win might affect industries such as energy, healthcare and defense, it’s not as black-and-white as some people might think. One of