Four factors figure empirically into how and why inflation moves: (1) commodity prices, (2) spare capacity, (3) changes in exchange rates, and (4) monetary policy. These same factors argue for a gradual recovery in U.S. inflation in the year ahead, which could be a headwind for high-quality fixed-income returns. In contrast to U.S. markets, in
No changes from last month. Source: Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC. The chart reflects the views of the Global Asset Allocation Team as of July 24, 2014. Asset classes are ranked from 1 (overweight) to 5 (underweight), with 3 representing a neutral allocation.
Price is important but income should be a factor when considering an investment. Don’t get caught on the sideline, the opportunity cost could be detrimental. You must consider the short and long term when investing. Many investors say they don’t want to own bonds because interest rates are going up. They would have a point
Puerto Rico’s new debt restructuring law led to a Moody’s downgrade. Our assessment of the relative strength of Puerto Rico’s general obligation bonds remains unchanged, as they are not covered by the new law. While we believe that the constitutionality of the new law will be heavily contested, the implications of a voluntary default to
Today’s low unemployment rate indicates modest slack in labor market, which implies earlier Fed rate hikes and/or more inflation risk. The decline in labor force participation in recent years now looks mostly structural. Investors should remain cautious around U.S. interest rate risk despite a solid first half of 2014. Excerpted from Zach Pandl’s newest whitepaper
A 60/40 portfolio may appear to be balanced, but when viewed through a risk lens it is clear that the equity allocation comprises a disproportionate amount of the risk. As a static strategy, the very thing that has helped risk parity succeed over time may prove to be its biggest liability going forward, and that
Unconstrained multi-sector bond funds have become very popular due to their flexibility to invest tactically across sectors and manage interest rate sensitivity. While it may be useful for a fixed income manager to employ a negative duration strategy, getting the timing right can be very challenging. With interest rates defying expectations so far in 2014,