The near-zero interest rate environment has been a support for the financial markets, but as the economy normalizes so will interest rates. While we expect the bull market in equities to continue, returns will likely be far more modest over the next 10 years. For bonds we can expect returns in the range of 2%-3%
Republicans exceeded expectations across the board, gaining control of the Senate and picking up significant net new seats in the House as well as in state capitols. We aren’t expecting the GOP to embark on a politically self-destructive path regarding debt limits and potential government shutdowns. But a clash over immigration might increase risks of
As emerging markets investors, we like Asia because of its strong reform momentum and the depth of its stock market. Rising interest rates will be good for exports and Asia’s earnings story. Valuations, inflation rates and current accounts are at levels close to where they were from 2001 to 2005, the best period for emerging
Q: What indications did you observe that pointed to the recent market volatility storm? A: In our adaptive risk allocation framework, one of the key first level characterizations we make on markets is whether interest rates are normal or too low. Instead of rising as most expected, interest rates moved lower and lower this summer.
There were no changes from the previous month. Source: Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC. The chart reflects the views of the Global Asset Allocation team as of October 17, 2014. Asset classes are ranked from 1 (overweight) to 5 (underweight), with 3 representing a neutral allocation.
As profitability rebounded from the financial crisis and return on assets improved in 2012 and 2013, the banking industry once again began to outperform. We continue to see growth in commercial and industrial loans as a positive indication for the economy. These loans also provide the growth of assets for the banks. Given their improving
Stock markets rose on the announcement that the government of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was significantly stepping up its policy actions. The other major announcement was that the Government Pension Investment Fund will shift its asset allocation to domestic equities and foreign bonds/equities away from domestic bonds. The near term risk/return profile currently looks very