In searching for explanations for the steep decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate analysts have rightly stressed the importance of retiring baby boomers. Increase in disability share accounts for 20-25% of the drop in the labor force participation rate since 2007 (vs ~45% for retirements). We expect this shift to be essentially permanent,
Insights on current market events and investment opportunities.
In recent years, U.S. equity markets have become far more complex, competitive and fragmented. Against that backdrop, high-frequency trading was born. With faster connections to exchanges, high-frequency firms are able to get faster signals, and “jump ahead” of slower orders, reaping huge profits. Columbia Management will continue to implement tools to protect our clients’ best
After significant gains in 2013, equities took a breather in the first quarter of 2014 while fixed income assets rallied. The S&P 500 Index experienced a fair amount of volatility, retreating 5.8% at the start of the year and then rallying by more than 7% to end the quarter modestly higher. Within international markets, European,
Compared to the market consensus, our views have been more negative on three key duration fundamentals. Following recent remarks by Fed Chair Janet Yellen, we are now less confident about how to read Yellen’s policy strategy. We are still expecting higher rates; however, we now have less conviction that 3-5yr Treasuries will continue to underperform on
We have started to reduce exposure to high-quality bonds with limited upside potential and high-yield bonds in which credit risk appears too aggressive. Following weakness last year, emerging market debt has posted gains this year, and we expect further strength ahead as volatility subsides. While we expect a flatter yield curve over the next few
Exports by emerging market economies are the most important factor in explaining long-term growth. EM exports have remained sluggish for the past three years due in part to the subpar nature of global growth. As emerging markets struggle to overcome the challenges to their growth story, the EM landscape will likely face significant challenges ahead.
Recently the market has been quite optimistic about merger synergy promises. History suggests investors should be diligent about analyzing acquirers’ claims around merger benefits and returns. While attractive acquisitions may lie ahead, it is critical to continue to carefully evaluate acquirers’ strategies and claims. The “old” healthcare M&A In the “old days,” pharmaceutical Company A