Search results for: china

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Three’s a party in India

Investors are concluding that the prospects for EM equities are as dim as ever. Yet evaluating EM as a monolithic whole is outdated and dangerous.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives

Harvesting a New Moderation in Asia

Companies with competitive strengths still intact should have positive profit growth once adaptive change gets underway. The ability to control cost is essential to surviving the growth slowdown in Asia Pacific ex Japan.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing

Global market mid-year outlook

Overall macroeconomic picture in U.S. should push bond yields higher, particularly if the Fed stops its QE program later this year. We remain positive on emerging market debt while maintaining a bias against emerging market equities.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, U.S. Economy

Ghost of crises past

The market’s extended period of low volatility was shattered in the past month. While it is possible fear-driven selling could resume or accelerate, we do not believe this is the most likely outcome.

Tagged with: Economy, Investing, Markets

Release the doves

The Fed (and all central banks) is highly sensitive to shifts in inflation expectations by either consumers or the markets. The one-year TIP breakeven appears to be pricing in some deflationary pulse and is also pulling down longer term inflation expectations across the curve.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Economy, Investing

Oil at $70 — How will the markets rebalance?

Lower oil prices should translate into higher demand as a result of cheaper petroleum prices and through higher global GDP growth, which in turn drives oil demand. While there are several factors that could serve to offset this higher demand, we should see some additional demand as a result of lower prices.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing, Markets

Oil and the high yield market

By Jennifer Ponce de Leon, Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of High Yield and Mark Van Holland, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager 

Size of the Energy Sector

Because the energy sector is a large component of the U.S. high yield market relative to some other asset classes, the market has received increased scrutiny due to recent declines in oil prices. Prior to the recent sell off, energy accounted for more than 15% of the high yield market, making it by far the largest industry (healthcare is the second largest at approximately 8.5%).

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

Finding opportunity in Japan’s recovery

In Japan, there is general optimism for a steady economic recovery, with a prevailing sense of confidence in reasonable valuations and a low bar for incremental improvement. Companies that can take advantage of global business opportunities look far more attractive than those simply waiting for a rising national tide to lift their boats.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Is Europe Heading for Japanese-style Deflation?

There are many parallels between the euro area today and Japan in the 1990s. The euro area appears to be on track to avert deflation in the short term.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing, Markets
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