Search results for: dollar

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Release the doves

The Fed (and all central banks) is highly sensitive to shifts in inflation expectations by either consumers or the markets. The one-year TIP breakeven appears to be pricing in some deflationary pulse and is also pulling down longer term inflation expectations across the curve.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Economy, Investing

Market volatility: Where do we go from here?

Watch Jeff Knight, CFA, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation, explain his view of the markets and what’s next for investors. Taking a cross-asset perspective, Knight looks at some key trends leading up to the recent market volatility, including falling U.S. bond yields, economic slowdown in Europe and a strengthening U.S. dollar.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Markets, U.S. Economy

U.S. rates — Data dependence

Evidence of data dependency at the June FOMC meeting suggests policy will respond to unemployment and inflation surprises. We are more confident the Fed’s reaction function is (nearly) done moving.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing, U.S. Economy

Rising rates and REIT returns

While REITs typically demonstrate some interest rate sensitivity and sometimes have a “knee-jerk” reaction down when rates first move up, performance has often rebounded. An improving economy has the potential to dampen the effects of duration risk and interest rate sensitivity, given the increased earnings and dividend growth REITs can produce.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

Investment themes for a “Groundhog Day” world

Pursue a realistic income goal with more than bonds. Common stocks and a variety of other corporate securities may yield as much as bonds with greater return potential over time.

Constraints of convention — Does a portfolio design have to be static?

A 60/40 portfolio may appear to be balanced, but when viewed through a risk lens it is clear that the equity allocation comprises a disproportionate amount of the risk. As a static strategy, the very thing that has helped risk parity succeed over time may prove to be its biggest liability going forward, and that is all those extra bonds.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Markets

Finding bond opportunities throughout the business cycle

Global bond markets respond in different ways throughout the business cycle. A flexible strategy can adapt its risk complexion to capture opportunities and mitigate downside.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

The role of income inequality

The rise in income inequality was a root cause of the U.S. financial crisis and the slow post-recovery period. Mediocre income gains for middle income households have contributed to the slow recovery of U.S. consumption and economic growth.

Tagged with: Investing, Markets, U.S. Economy

It’s a mobile world

While the growth of smartphones on the high-end is decelerating, the low-end in China and the emerging markets continue to see strong growth. The outlook for communications infrastructure seems to have improved.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (as of February 24, 2014)

Markets had a difficult start to the year. After experiencing negative returns in January, both U.S. and European equities recovered in February and are now slightly positive for the year.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Markets
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