Search results for: dollar

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Constraints of convention — Does a portfolio design have to be static?

A 60/40 portfolio may appear to be balanced, but when viewed through a risk lens it is clear that the equity allocation comprises a disproportionate amount of the risk. As a static strategy, the very thing that has helped risk parity succeed over time may prove to be its biggest liability going forward, and that is all those extra bonds.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Markets

Finding bond opportunities throughout the business cycle

Global bond markets respond in different ways throughout the business cycle. A flexible strategy can adapt its risk complexion to capture opportunities and mitigate downside.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

Investment themes for a “Groundhog Day” world

Pursue a realistic income goal with more than bonds. Common stocks and a variety of other corporate securities may yield as much as bonds with greater return potential over time.

It’s a mobile world

While the growth of smartphones on the high-end is decelerating, the low-end in China and the emerging markets continue to see strong growth. The outlook for communications infrastructure seems to have improved.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

Global Asset Allocation Outlook (as of February 24, 2014)

Markets had a difficult start to the year. After experiencing negative returns in January, both U.S. and European equities recovered in February and are now slightly positive for the year.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Markets

The role of income inequality

The rise in income inequality was a root cause of the U.S. financial crisis and the slow post-recovery period. Mediocre income gains for middle income households have contributed to the slow recovery of U.S. consumption and economic growth.

Tagged with: Investing, Markets, U.S. Economy

Global market mid-year outlook

Overall macroeconomic picture in U.S. should push bond yields higher, particularly if the Fed stops its QE program later this year. We remain positive on emerging market debt while maintaining a bias against emerging market equities.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, U.S. Economy

U.S. rates — When the facts change

Prospective returns for Treasuries now look poor across the curve—not just at the front end. Yield curves tend to flatten as central banks raise short-term rates, but valuations have now moved beyond the point where these trades make sense.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, U.S. Economy

The case for active bond management

There have been instances where the passive approach to bond investing produced significant underperformance relative to a benchmark. Index funds are at a significant disadvantage to active portfolios in which managers incorporate valuation into their decision making process.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

Time not timing

30 years equals about 11,000 days. One might assume that eliminating a few of those days would have little impact on investment performance during that time.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Investing, Markets
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