Search results for: gdp

  1.  
  2. 1
  3. 2
  4. 3
  5. 4

Oil at $70 — How will the markets rebalance?

Lower oil prices should translate into higher demand as a result of cheaper petroleum prices and through higher global GDP growth, which in turn drives oil demand. While there are several factors that could serve to offset this higher demand, we should see some additional demand as a result of lower prices.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing, Markets

Interest rates — Farewell, liquidity trap

The U.S. Treasury market as a whole has returned +1% annualized since the end of 2012 (and +0.5% annualized since the low in 10-year yields in July 2012). Because of imminent Fed rate hikes and depressed yield levels, prospective returns look no better today.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing

Slack and inflation

Today’s low unemployment rate indicates modest slack in labor market, which implies earlier Fed rate hikes and/or more inflation risk. The decline in labor force participation in recent years now looks mostly structural.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing

Commodities – Time to start reloading

Base metals, U.S. natural gas, grains and now oil are all trading at price levels that are signalling producers to cut production. We see the over-production of oil as temporary and the market balancing in Q3 2015, and while this will leave significant inventories to work through, prices should recover into year end.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing

Global market mid-year outlook

Overall macroeconomic picture in U.S. should push bond yields higher, particularly if the Fed stops its QE program later this year. We remain positive on emerging market debt while maintaining a bias against emerging market equities.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, U.S. Economy

Inflation — The usual suspects

Four factors figure empirically into how and why inflation moves: (1) commodity prices, (2) spare capacity, (3) changes in exchange rates, and (4) monetary policy. These same factors argue for a gradual recovery in U.S. inflation in the year ahead, which could be a headwind for high-quality fixed-income returns.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income

2015 capital market assumptions

We retain very modest expectations for total returns from fixed-income assets based on the low level of yields combined with the expectation that interest rate policy will normalize within the next five years. We believe equities offer returns only slightly below their long-term averages based on expectations of ongoing economic growth and worldwide equity valuations that are not extremely expensive.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Perspectives, Investing, Markets

The beginnings of a new moderation in Asia

The Great Moderation was a period of macroeconomic growth and reduced volatility that provided a backdrop to the strong performance of U.S. equities. The lessons hold relevance for equity investors in Asia as big picture conditions for a Great Moderation are starting to fall into place.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing

Stairs up, elevator down

Major asset classes had nice gains through mid-June but have declined as of late. Although we still favor equities, we think it is time to bolster portfolio resilience.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Markets

Emerging market equities — Still a world of opportunity

Despite a disappointing last five years, the structural growth drivers that have long made emerging markets an attractive area in which to invest are as compelling as ever. While emerging markets may be a single asset class, they are anything but homogenous.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing
  1.  
  2. 1
  3. 2
  4. 3
  5. 4

About Us

Backed by more than 100 years of experience, Columbia Management is one of the nation’s largest asset managers. At the heart of our success and, most importantly, that of our investors, are highly talented industry professionals, brought together by a unique way of working. At Columbia Management, reaching our performance goals matters, and how we reach them matters just as much.