The landslide victory of the pro-business Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has transformed investor sentiment towards India. As the new government puts its stamp on policy, it will create investment opportunities not only in the domestic economy but also in sectors exposed to government-led reform. We believe the new government could enact much needed reforms to
Insights on current market events and investment opportunities.
We have advocated an overweight to equities for several years. Even through the early year setbacks for the global economy and for global stocks, our views favored equities over other investment choices. To the degree that our overall investment stance has been overweight equities, we have willfully assumed a higher risk profile than usual. So
We look for securities that offer a balance of credit fundamentals and yield. We use a “roll-down” analysis to identify the sweet spot on the yield curve. We believe yield curve positioning is the largest driver of returns for intermediate municipal portfolios. The cornerstone of the Columbia Management municipal investment process is identifying relative value
At last week’s Jackson Hole Symposium Janet Yellen was not the dove we thought we knew. Balanced remarks on labor market and cumulative progress toward recovery put her views close to center of FOMC. We see this as further confirmation that Fed leadership is increasingly comfortable with moving toward an exit from zero interest rates—likely
There have been instances where the passive approach to bond investing produced significant underperformance relative to a benchmark. Index funds are at a significant disadvantage to active portfolios in which managers incorporate valuation into their decision making process. The many nuances and inefficiencies of the fixed income market create both difficulties for indexing and opportunities
Surprisingly solid returns for bonds in the first half could lead to disappointment in the second half of the year. We continue to believe high-yield bonds are worth holding, especially higher quality ones. Improved country fundamentals and strong technical support favor EM bonds but caution that returns could be less stable in the near term.
Fed officials have highlighted underemployment but offered little guidance about how this issue affects the policy outlook. Traditional tools like the Taylor Rule need to be recalibrated if the central bank focuses on a different measure of slack, so they offer little guidance to investors at the moment. We hope to learn more at this