While there has been a broad slowing in the last 15 months, the U.S. housing market has stabilized and started to recover. Homebuilders are catering to upscale buyers where financing is less of a constraint, and also building larger and more expensive homes. Housing has started to add to economic activity after stalling for the
Insights on current market events and investment opportunities.
While the bond market has generated strong returns so far in 2014, we are positioning portfolios with a shorter duration to protect against rising interest rates. Although we think that corporate bonds look better than their government counterparts, the most attractive bond market opportunities may be outside of the corporate market. Investors should remain flexible in order to
In the following video, Gene Tannuzzo, senior portfolio manager for strategic income and multi-sector fixed income, explains his outlook for bond markets. Global bond markets have posted strong returns so far in 2014, driven by largely by factors outside of the U.S. Looking forward, we expect U.S. interest rates to rise, and so we are
With inflation expectations declining to the levels that preceded the recent shift in policy, should the ECB and the financial markets be worried? In our view, the ECB probably won’t be wholly impressed by the reaction of inflation expectations to recently announced measures, and will be keeping a close eye on favored measures. We believe
RP-2014 mortality tables are expected to increase the average pension plan’s liabilities by 3% to 10%, with a similar reduction in funded status. Revised tables will be recognized first by plan sponsors’ accountants, and subsequently by the IRS. Plan sponsors should work with their advisors, investment managers and actuaries to develop a response tailored to
While the current U.S. business cycle is likely past its mid-point, its durability should not be measured by length alone. The tepid nature of the recovery has prevented the build-up of excesses that normally precede recessions. Because it will be some time before any imbalances build up to the point of excess and stymie the
While REITs typically demonstrate some interest rate sensitivity and sometimes have a “knee-jerk” reaction down when rates first move up, performance has often rebounded. An improving economy has the potential to dampen the effects of duration risk and interest rate sensitivity, given the increased earnings and dividend growth REITs can produce. The balance of income