Search results for: china

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Oil at $70 — How will the markets rebalance?

Lower oil prices should translate into higher demand as a result of cheaper petroleum prices and through higher global GDP growth, which in turn drives oil demand. While there are several factors that could serve to offset this higher demand, we should see some additional demand as a result of lower prices.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing, Markets

Comments on the effect on global markets from the Ukraine crisis

To date, the fallout from the Ukrainian crisis has been largely confined to the emerging market debt, emerging market equity and commodity markets. At current levels, emerging market local currency debt appears to offer value, although we expect both the hard and local currency markets to remain volatile in the short term.

Tagged with: Global Economy

Gut check: The outlook on fixed income

The next big move in rates may be triggered by concerns about possible future Fed rate hikes. High-quality bonds may struggle to generate coupon-like returns.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

Emerging Markets: Waiting on exports

Exports by emerging market economies are the most important factor in explaining long-term growth. EM exports have remained sluggish for the past three years due in part to the subpar nature of global growth.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Global asset allocation outlook (as of March 2014)

After significant gains in 2013, equities took a breather in the first quarter of 2014 while fixed income assets rallied. The S&P 500 Index experienced a fair amount of volatility, retreating 5.8% at the start of the year and then rallying by more than 7% to end the quarter modestly higher.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Investing

Thoughts on navigating market volatility in today’s technology markets

We are seeing a market rotation from momentum to value on macro factors and internal market dynamics. Keys are to stay diversified, look for businesses with strong moats and that produce solid cash flow and compare to historical valuations.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing

Predicting new drug sales is more art than science

Predicting sales of new medicines is highly inaccurate and subject to significant and often costly errors. While investment analysts can draw on research tools and experience, history suggests new drug forecasting will remain more art than science.

Tagged with: Investing

Global asset allocation outlook (August 2014)

We have advocated an overweight to equities for several years. Even through the early year setbacks for the global economy and for global stocks, our views favored equities over other investment choices.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing

Asset allocation — Kinetic vs. potential energy

While most equity markets had positive first half performance, we still expect modest acceleration in growth ahead for the global economy. From both a valuation perspective and investor sentiment viewpoint, Chinese, Russian and Japanese equities look cheap.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Investing, Markets
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