A framework for identifying capital market states can help set expectations for markets in the aftermath of the recent bond rally. Our framework suggests a highly bullish market state for equities although that market state would shift to bearish if conditions became more neutral. While we expect ongoing strength in equities (which should pressure bond
Insights on current market events and investment opportunities.
The Great Moderation was a period of macroeconomic growth and reduced volatility that provided a backdrop to the strong performance of U.S. equities. The lessons hold relevance for equity investors in Asia as big picture conditions for a Great Moderation are starting to fall into place. We believe the “new moderation” mindset will take Asia
For many investors, emerging market debt could be viewed as a core-portfolio holding rather than a short-term tactical investment. 2013’s re-pricing created value in terms of higher yields, a more dedicated investor base and a better relative value argument. Flexibility across the full spectrum of EMD investment opportunities is extremely important, as emerging markets are
The global asset allocation team reaffirmed their recommendation to modestly overweight equities versus bonds, despite the slight underperformance of equities relative to bonds so far this year. The S&P 500 is up about 3.5% while the Barclay’s aggregate index is up 4.0% and longer dated bonds are up over 13%. This strong bond market performance
High yield muni bonds represent an attractive investment opportunity Professional money managers can help with the intricacies of the high yield muni space Current income and potential tax advantages in the high yield space Attractive yields, potential for price appreciation Many investors are concerned about the prospect of rising interest rates and the impact higher
College savings plans offer an important tool for managing the cost of higher education. Saving in advance could offer a significant cost savings compared to taking loans during college. Use our 529 Savings vs. Loans Calculator to run your own personalized estimate. Saving for college early on can greatly benefit you in the long run.
Markets are starting to make understandable inference that Fed officials see a fixed timeline for rate hikes. Implied volatility is low because perceived policy uncertainty is low. We remain focused on modest slack and sturdy growth. Recent Fed communication brings to mind Goodhart’s Law: “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a